1) Los Angeles Lakers - 8) Portland Trail Blazers
This was a no-brainer, maybe that 17-point blowout is still fresh in my mind, or maybe its the fact that they haven't won at the Rose Garden the last eight times they've visited. That game was as poor a game as they've had all season. The Lakers tend to only get up for games like these, and they just got run over. Seeing them a potential of three times in the playoffs is less than ideal.
Still, the playoffs are an entirely different beast and the Blazers are young team with very little experience. They have all of Joel Pryzbilla (5 games, 35 minutes) and Steve Blake (9 games, 196 minutes) with experience under their belt. I was alerted to the fact Micheal Ruffin and Raef LaFrentz have some as well, but they don't count. They Lakers are the team everyone is trying to avoid, but I get the feeling the Blazers aren't afraid. This young team has a puncher's chance, and they would relish the opportunity to beat the favorites. Nicolas Batum did a... dare I say, good job on Kobe? He made him play defense and used his agility and quickness to stay with Kobe and contest as best you can. Their matchup on April 10 (at Portland) will go a long way to easing any fears in Laker land.
2) San Antonio Spurs - 7) New Orleans Hornets
Currently, half a game separates the 2nd seeded Spurs and the 3rd seeded Denver Nuggets, but with Manu Ginobli back, I'm giving them the benefit of the doubt. In 2008, this one went the distance, 7 games, and the Hornets made the Spurs earn it. The Hornets have been plagued all season with injuries, but I still think they have a chance. Still, they are a year wiser and have that experience from last year. The season series stands at 1-2 in favor of the Hornets, but the Spurs will fittingly close out the season on April 15 by hosting them in San Antonio.
The addition of James Posey can be a huge asset when trying to neutralize Ginobli. Both come off the bench and the winner of the bench battle could ultimately decide who advances. Add in four All-Stars who will likely see a lot of each other (pointguards Tony Parker versus Chris Paul and power forwards Tim Duncan versus David West) and you have the makings of another seven game series.
3) Denver Nuggets - 6) Utah Jazz
I'm still on the fence with Denver, they are winning this year, they play defense from time to time, and they have a real leader with Chauncey Billups out there. That said, I've seen them get dismantled in the first round the last few years with the same core minus Billups.
They say basketball is all about matchups, well if that's the case, then the Utah Jazz might give the Nuggets fits. They have a slew of defenders they can throw at Carmelo Anthony (see Andrei Kirilenko, Ronnie Brewer and Matt Harpring). Their respective point guards are normally the type to be mismatches against other teams, but Deron Williams and Chauncey Billups are almost doppelgangers of themselves. Both big, strong types, both shoot the three very well, and both are the engine that drives their team. Nene and Boozer are both bruising type big men. If the Nugs want to finally make it out of the first round, they probably don't want to see this dangerous Jazz squad.
4) Houston Rockets - 5) Utah Jazz
The 4-5 matchup changes daily, but this is what I'm going with. The Jazz have knocked out the Rockets out the past two years. This however, is an all new Rockets team, the addition of Ron Artest and the emergence of Aaron Brooks gives them a whole new look. Plus, no Tracy McGrady.
The Jazz are pretty dangerous team and the more I think about it, nobody wants to see this team. They have a top five point guard (Deron Williams will eat Brooks' lunch, all he has to do is post him up. I don't even think Brooks' advantage in speed is enough, D-Will is deceptively quick) and a perfect pick-and-roll partner with Boozer. Yao must be the key if the Rockets want to avoid another first round exit at the hands of the Jazz. The Jazz don't have anyone who can handle Yao in the post, and he can easily score over the top of Okur and Booz.
They split the season series this year with each team holding serve on their home court. With the traditional road woes the jazz have had, this one might come down to the home court advantage.

















